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NAVIGATION

Navigation is the practical application of Market Trajectory Theory.

It begins by measuring risk, determining which risks are appropriate to assume, selecting suitable investment tools, and deciding how much capital should be exposed.

Risk Management Comes First.

Investment return requires the assumption of risk. Navigation seeks to identify and measure risk, select risks that can be understood and managed, and pursue an appropriate return for the risks assumed.

Risk management first means selecting risk.

Investment Tools

Tools are chosen based on market conditions and risk assessment.

Navigation studies market trajectory rather than companies.

What Navigation May Use

Broad-Market Index InstrumentsS&P 500 · S&P 100 · Nasdaq-100 · Dow Jones–Related · Other Qualified Broad-Market Index Instruments
Liquidity and Capital PreservationU.S. Treasuries · High-Quality Bonds · CDs · Money Market Funds · Cash
LeverageLeverage is not the strategy. It is one of the tools available to the strategy.
Index OptionsAvailable as a potential risk-management tool under exceptional market conditions; not used to date.

What Navigation Does Not Use

Individual Stocks and Sector & Industry ETFsNavigation focuses on broad-market exposure rather than individual companies or sectors.
Mutual FundsNot part of Navigation’s selected investment instruments.
High-Yield BondsNot used as a source of portfolio return or market exposure.
Private Equity & Alternative InvestmentsOutside Navigation’s liquid, market-focused investment framework.

Timing Matters.

Market timing is an important part of Navigation. We seek to identify meaningful changes in market trajectory as early as practicable, using both traditional technical tools and non-traditional analytical methods.

Particular attention is given to conditions that may signal the beginning of a major market decline and recovery, when the timing of portfolio adjustments can materially affect investment outcomes.

Traditional Technical Tools+Non-Traditional Analytical Methods

Historical instances of successful timing do not assure that future market turning points will be identified successfully.

An Integrated Investment Process

Navigation brings market understanding, risk management, tool selection, capital allocation, and timing together.

Understand Market TrajectoryAssess the broader market environment.Assess RiskIdentify and evaluate manageable risks.Allocate and SelectChoose appropriate tools and exposure.Adjust Over TimeReposition as conditions evolve.